Making Money With Momentum

By Christopher Fitch

As far as momentum goes, a lot of investors confuse trendline with true momentum. In fact, Momentum as a technical tool, tells investors whether that trendline is more apt to continue or reverse. Using technical analysis and events like Momentum, investors are less likely to buy high and sell low.

What Is Momentum Similar to the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) oscillator, Momentum measures how much a security's price has changed over a given time. With a understanding of technical analysis and this particular event, investors will understand whether a slight pull back in price is part of the normal fluctuations of stock prices or if it is indeed a bearish signal for the price.

More specifically, Momentum tells investors about the strength of the underlying price trend. Using this type of technical analysis allows investors to determine overbought and oversold conditions in a security and decide whether opening or closing a position is called for. Such decisions are normally impossible to make based on security prices alone.

Figuring Out Momentum When it comes to completing your own technical analysis, you may encounter difficulty or frustration with the sometimes complicated mathematical formula. Luckily with Momentum, the calculation is rather simple. To obtain a Momentum reading, you take the closing price of a security, divide it into the closing price from ten periods ago, and multiply it by 100. In other words: Close $ /(Close 10 time-periods ago) * 100].

Trading on Momentum When it comes to executing trades based on Momentum, the reading is quite simple to understand. Values above 0 are bullish and values below 0 are bearish. A word of caution however is that extremely higher low values might suggest a continuation of the existing trend. In the case of a sell, investors are urged to trade only if prices peak and then begin to fall and not trade before they begin to fall.

As with most technical analysis, investors should never base entry or exit points solely on Momentum. In many cases, Momentum can serve as confirmation of other technical events or even underlying security fundamentals.

As mentioned previously, many events triggered through technical analysis involve heavy mathematical calculations. For most investors who do not have the time or ability to complete their own mathematical work, trading software has evolved to the point where your computer will go so far as making simple buy and sell recommendations. Understanding technical analysis is one thing; completing the work is another. For most serious investors, trading software not only makes sense, but it improves profit.

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