Brazil v North Korea World Cup Preview and Betting Tips |
||||
| By Will Martin |
||||
| Brazil v North Korea Betting Market review Date 15th June 7.30pm Venue: Ellis Park J´Burg Altitude: 1,753m Tv - RTE 2 & ITV 1 Asian Handicap Markets Change in Handicap indicates support for North Korea (+2.5) Brazil odds - Flat North Korea odds - Falling Change in the goals handicap indicates support for overs Over 3 goal odds - Flat Betting Exchange Markets Brazil Odds - Flat North Korea Odds - Shortening Draw Odds - Flat Over 2.5 goals - stable % Of Matched Bets Brazil - 98% Draw - 1% North Korea - 1% Over 2.5 goals 65% Injury News Julio Cesar should be fit enough to start in goal Current and Qualifying Form: Brazil´s form is very good with a recent record of 5-1-0 They qualified out of a poor group with a record of 9 wins 7 draws and 2 losses North Korea´s form is terrible with a recent record of 0-2-4 Qualified with a record of 3 wins 3 draws and 2 losses Previous Meetings This will be the first meeting of the two sides Goals scored and Conceded in qualification Brazil scored 33 goals in qualifying, conceding 11 This gives them an average of 1.83 goals scored and 0.61 conceded North Korea scored 7 goals in qualifying conceeding 5 This gives them an average of 0.875 goals scored per game, 0.625 goals conceeded per game Rankings Brazil World Ranking: 1 v North Korea World Ranking: 105 Brazil ELO Ranking: 1 v North Korea ELO Ranking: 79 Streaks: Brazil have kept clean sheets in 7 of their last 11 games at th World Cup 15 wins out of 15 against non European or non South American sides in the world cup, 13 clean sheets Luis Fabiano scored 9 goals in 9 starts during qualification They are the only side to ever have won the World cup outside their own continent Probabilities: Computed Probability (based on stats and market movements) Brazil - 85% Draw - 8% North Korea - 7% Implied Probability (based on available odds) Brazil - 90% Draw - 7% North Korea 3% In short this suggests that Brazil are good value despite current prices It also suggests that the draw is the next likely outcome, however minimal. Referee: Viktor Kassai - Hungary 52 international games 200 yellows, average of 3.85 per game 8 reds, average of 0.15 per game 13 penalties, average of 0.28 per game Suggestions: There can only be one winner in this game and its no surprise who. To get value you could look to the half/full time markets but even that looks like poor value Obviously overs come into it but you could look to over 3.5 to get some value The penalty market also looks appealling, there has only been 1 penalty so far and with the quick Brazilian foot work there could be on. At the moment it looks great value at 3.6 Look out for updates on Twitter closer to kick off and during the game as things will change massively Look in the description below to get links to the discussed markets. www.BetHelper.ie www.twitter.com/bethelper www.facebook.com/bethelper www.youtube.com/bethelper |
||||
| Article Source: http://interpret.zar.vg | ||||
| About The Author Betting Preview => www.twitter.com/bethelper Get a Unique Version of this Article Article Marketing |
||||
|
||||
| © 2012 interpret.zar.vg |
